Yukon Seasonal Wildfire Outlook
Yukon's seasonal outlook provides longer-range fire-weather context for a vast territory where wildfire activity can occur far from communities and transportation corridors before individual incidents are known.
Updated monthly on the first business day after the 6th from April through September.
FireRadar does not invent an interim seasonal value between official CWFIS updates. Check the source map for the currently published forecast month and model products.
How to read the seasonal forecast
Forecast Severity Rating
A longer-range estimate of potential seasonal fire-weather severity. Similar values can still produce different real-world fire outcomes.
Severity Anomaly
Shows how forecast severity compares with what is typical for that location and time of year.
Probabilistic Forecast
Communicates confidence and agreement across the forecast ensemble rather than pretending one deterministic outcome is certain.
95th-percentile fire-weather days
Highlights periods when forecast Fire Weather Index may be unusually high relative to the local climate. It does not capture every day on which extreme fire behaviour could occur.
What the outlook means for Yukon
Yukon spans boreal forest, mountain terrain, major river valleys and remote areas with very different snowmelt, moisture and lightning patterns. Seasonal model guidance should be interpreted as broad planning context, not as a forecast that a named community, highway or property will be affected. Current Yukon Wildland Fire Management information remains authoritative for incidents and emergency operations.