Newfoundland and Labrador Seasonal Wildfire Outlook
Newfoundland and Labrador's seasonal outlook provides longer-range fire-weather context across the Island and the much larger forested landscapes of Labrador before live incidents are known.
Updated monthly on the first business day after the 6th from April through September.
FireRadar does not invent an interim seasonal value between official CWFIS updates. Check the source map for the currently published forecast month and model products.
How to read the seasonal forecast
Forecast Severity Rating
A longer-range estimate of potential seasonal fire-weather severity. Similar values can still produce different real-world fire outcomes.
Severity Anomaly
Shows how forecast severity compares with what is typical for that location and time of year.
Probabilistic Forecast
Communicates confidence and agreement across the forecast ensemble rather than pretending one deterministic outcome is certain.
95th-percentile fire-weather days
Highlights periods when forecast Fire Weather Index may be unusually high relative to the local climate. It does not capture every day on which extreme fire behaviour could occur.
What the outlook means for Newfoundland and Labrador
Newfoundland and Labrador combines maritime weather, forested interior terrain and remote Labrador regions with very different moisture, wind and access patterns. Seasonal outlook maps are useful background but cannot predict a specific ignition, evacuation or travel impact, and conditions in Labrador can differ substantially from those on the Island.